MLB · resolved market
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91a931f2ccfd715b99d63503dad9648c962572a44e64abcfd06ad83f6ed9edc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 22,416$13,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,512.07 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 12,802$5,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,683.12 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 10,231$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.14 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 8,183$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,990.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 7,216$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.89 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 5,103$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.93 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 4,676$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 4,544$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,203$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 3,095$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.99 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,969$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.6 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,674$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 1,639$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.52 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,351$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.12 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 720.63$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 649.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 600$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 550.33$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.36 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 517.23$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.86 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 505.92$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 500.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 440.83$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.01 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 437.46$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 432$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 390$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 379.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 325$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 303$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 267.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 259.5$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 222.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 208.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 191.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 179.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 174.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 160.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 156.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 152.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 145.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 124$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 120.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 111.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 104.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 100.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 91.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…23acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 90.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 67.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 66.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 66.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 61.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 61.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 60.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 53.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 50.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 48.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 46.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 37.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 37.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 36.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 34.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 33.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 33.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 27.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…6de5backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…78abbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 23.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 17.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.