TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Memphis Grizzliesof Golden State Warriors, Memphis Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Golden State Warriors0c68,469$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.171,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Golden State Warriors15c44,190$6,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,744.4813442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Golden State Warriors67c7,670$5,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Golden State Warriors1c5,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9631222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Golden State Warriors70c4,390$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.3317646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Memphis Grizzlies56c4,157$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.6693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Memphis Grizzlies33c3,797$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.9215850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Golden State Warriors62c3,429$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Golden State Warriors29c3,364$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.4218140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Memphis Grizzlies38c2,632$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.972339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Warriors67c2,256$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.5237355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cb…3d72backed Golden State Warriors69c2,077$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.51540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Memphis Grizzlies32c2,075$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.213452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Memphis Grizzlies69c2,004$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.910761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Memphis Grizzlies36c1,776$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.431637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Memphis Grizzlies49c1,744$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.6412048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Golden State Warriors61c1,730$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.0218445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Golden State Warriors67c1,710$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.72240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Memphis Grizzlies33c1,200$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80450346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Warriors63c1,081$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.0525954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Golden State Warriors67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Golden State Warriors66c999.94$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.963348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438b…8229backed Golden State Warriors7c962.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden State Warriors12c931.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.721,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Memphis Grizzlies55c899.22$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Memphis Grizzlies34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.351181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.35per pick47cpaid+126.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Golden State Warriors59c852.31$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.863339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Memphis Grizzlies41c770.12$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Memphis Grizzlies40c715.01$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.5612846.9%60 W · 68 L+13.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x012f…a5d7backed Golden State Warriors68c709.24$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Memphis Grizzlies30c706.68$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.682,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Golden State Warriors7c699.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6759…1117backed Memphis Grizzlies76c668.27$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.88560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Golden State Warriors41c600.31$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1236023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf58…1deabacked Golden State Warriors17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Golden State Warriors65c531.11$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.563764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Golden State Warriors68c500.96$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Memphis Grizzlies52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Golden State Warriors38c478.14$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.913,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Warriors38c459.75$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Golden State Warriors67c447.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30062652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Memphis Grizzlies48c434.56$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9457550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Memphis Grizzlies42c427.06$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9266744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Golden State Warriors54c369.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Warriors10c365.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19fd…bb13backed Golden State Warriors61c355.57$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+114%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Golden State Warriors27c329.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Memphis Grizzlies69c311.44$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.961471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Memphis Grizzlies62c307.85$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.252634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Memphis Grizzlies33c305.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7627145.4%123 W · 148 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Memphis Grizzlies45c287.79$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e79…1763backed Memphis Grizzlies74c286.3$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Memphis Grizzlies39c253.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8235546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Golden State Warriors68c245$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.62766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf338…4514backed Golden State Warriors26c219.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.192951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Golden State Warriors58c204.11$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.388654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Golden State Warriors26c204.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.958230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Memphis Grizzlies40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Memphis Grizzlies33c199.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.945143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Memphis Grizzlies33c175.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.764461.4%27 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+50.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Memphis Grizzlies63c175.68$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.271,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Memphis Grizzlies40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052450%12 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Golden State Warriors62c167.35$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d14…f766backed Golden State Warriors67c165.44$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8969…2a77backed Golden State Warriors61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Golden State Warriors51c145.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0852242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304a…05ecbacked Golden State Warriors14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010232.4%33 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Memphis Grizzlies78c140$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.811160.4%67 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x572e…6382backed Memphis Grizzlies74c140$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Memphis Grizzlies75c133.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5112542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Memphis Grizzlies43c127$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6936749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Golden State Warriors48c124.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.734856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Memphis Grizzlies41c121.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293b…7a58backed Golden State Warriors46c115.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0450%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Golden State Warriors63c112.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.72050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Golden State Warriors62c110.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.342650%13 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f8…f1a7backed Golden State Warriors63c103.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+227.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Golden State Warriors39c97.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812735.4%45 W · 82 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Golden State Warriors68c88.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.321040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Golden State Warriors69c85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.881435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-51.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x355f…1847backed Golden State Warriors68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8e…e61bbacked Golden State Warriors68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Golden State Warriors63c72.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.491225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Golden State Warriors60c70.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0619548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Golden State Warriors64c69.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.462250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d78…f54abacked Memphis Grizzlies79c67.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ee…fc4bbacked Memphis Grizzlies41c63.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.732254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Golden State Warriors48c62.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.130945.3%140 W · 169 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Golden State Warriors26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Golden State Warriors67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Golden State Warriors59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e78…4043backed Golden State Warriors63c56.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Golden State Warriors67c53.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6465855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58f…130dbacked Golden State Warriors62c51.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Memphis Grizzlies47c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8559743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Golden State Warriors63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012437.9%47 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Golden State Warriors69c46.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.381957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Memphis Grizzlies33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+52.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Memphis Grizzlies23c45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.655541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Memphis Grizzlies44c44.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.