South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedf96a7ae2bf8dd9fffb39b292155f952ff5ece7dcb48555cf188d273159d8b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 8c | 1,673$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 1,431$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 1,356$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.72 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 65c | 980$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 908.29$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Over | 21c | 673.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 19c | 248.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 20c | 124.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…5e45backed Over | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 67c | 102.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Over | 21c | 89.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 73c | 23.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Under | 80c | 17.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)Cusco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.