La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1ac8a9d0d79d835da23752ffd6814680aa80a7eaed9fd76d75f167c6a7986f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 8,345$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.51 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 30c | 7,058$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.35 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 18c | 784.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 612.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 29c | 442.63$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 20c | 299$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 284.82$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 70c | 243.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 224.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 72c | 222.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 70c | 187.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 71c | 139.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 30c | 102.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 31c | 93.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Under | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 72c | 40.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…9dcebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 72c | 37.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 32.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 76c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…bcb3backed Under | 71c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.