La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644458a22358e822aed95db9b548a7fb9f7f6b7095d00c03584353f976f27830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Atlético de Madridof Club Atlético de Madrid, Valencia CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66f0…1229backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 999.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +397.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…992abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 750$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Valencia CF | 21c | 476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 9c | 444$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 4c | 300$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…98bebacked Valencia CF | 50c | 288.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 8c | 287.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 8c | 130$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 127.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 55c | 69.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 53c | 69.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 76c | 62.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Valencia CF | 23c | 56.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…b6eabacked Valencia CF | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 47c | 42.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 50c | 36.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Valencia CF | 51c | 31.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Valencia CF | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 50c | 27.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Valencia CF | 76c | 22.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 69c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.