TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Club Atlético de Madridof Valencia CF, Club Atlético de Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,293 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e8…88a4backed Club Atlético de Madrid69c1,390$959 inWon+$430.91963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Valencia CF10c669.08$69 inLost-$69.1311820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Valencia CF13c324.96$44 inLost-$43.783,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid68c275.16$187 inWon+$88.0548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Club Atlético de Madrid71c232.85$165 inWon+$67.5310168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Valencia CF32c214.5$69 inLost-$68.6412236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Valencia CF31c158.88$50 inLost-$506526.2%17 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Atlético de Madrid72c147$106 inWon+$40.9692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Valencia CF31c140$43 inLost-$43.422448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Club Atlético de Madrid70c105.19$74 inWon+$31.566048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33b3…e861backed Club Atlético de Madrid71c70.42$50 inWon+$20.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7291…78e2backed Club Atlético de Madrid71c66.69$47 inWon+$19.341643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Valencia CF21c65.71$14 inLost-$13.85349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Valencia CF30c53.69$16 inLost-$16.1134252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485a…a7c3backed Club Atlético de Madrid69c43.48$30 inWon+$13.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid69c32.61$23 inWon+$10.1135442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628b…6861backed Club Atlético de Madrid76c16.85$13 inWon+$4.04862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.