TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c17,582$9,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,281.174,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over47c11,172$5,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,927.7712553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under1c6,002$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0224145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under1c2,266$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under1c2,250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+350.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over74c2,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302075%15 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Under22c1,958$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1811159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c1,641$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.6383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c1,117$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.723,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9916149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c905.19$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.5192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Under1c850$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over60c834$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under24c781.31$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5516348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.257750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b3…8d3dbacked Over49c700$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over54c634.21$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3260832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over28c600$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+203.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over45c425.57$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.573740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Under24c422$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.781154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Under25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6217128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c382.72$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2845841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over53c354.72$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c304.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under69c301.27$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7183444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13511444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over52c299.46$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8911820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed Under53c284.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over66c277.2$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2512470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under23c221.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over44c218.18$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.185149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over46c215.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.233060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under8c214.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Under19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over68c206$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.524353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over30c180$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5196…2196backed Over44c179$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under58c173.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over43c173.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Over48c169.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.37944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over66c150.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2416363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under24c148.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over65c145.2$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4717562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over37c139.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.810554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5810041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under54c130.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3922557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick68cpaid-61%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.879558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under14c119.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under14c119.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.799611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Over46c111.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.561540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over43c104.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.671656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Under30c101.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Over76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Under25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over44c99.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.996350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over28c96.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Under28c96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.772231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over44c93.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1834050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over33c90.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.54163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under56c86.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4337348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Over68c80.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+80.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over40c74.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.251,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739f…e091backed Over69c71.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+175.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under55c71.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4222760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Under77c71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.722334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x227d…8719backed Over75c66.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.491338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.833951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over25c61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.551145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.257263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.212044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over75c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over67c52.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Over46c43.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.73729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Under35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over42c40.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.666243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.419258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ab…83f5backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104877.1%37 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over48c39.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.556937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under56c39.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8917960.3%108 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c38.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0813251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Over46c34.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e80…6910backed Over43c34.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over45c33.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.672544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4721457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Over77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.473158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over75c31.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.872,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.