TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over51c153,125$78,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,656.2810450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c28,717$14,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,645.5383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under49c20,408$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.163525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under49c18,000$8,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,180785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c17,451$10,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,557.914,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c16,667$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,666.673956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c13,649$6,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,960.9915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.897656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c9,500$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,02012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c8,500$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5051450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over51c6,577$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.0314250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2505149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under48c6,246$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Under48c5,833$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over38c4,299$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over52c4,100$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.987553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c10…6482backed Under48c4,094$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1605927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c3,992$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.922,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over45c3,760$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.23438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Over26c3,429$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8921650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.999443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over9c2,999$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9210820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under70c2,585$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.891643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under48c2,292$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed Under48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0207358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Under49c1,789$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.7115150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over2c1,728$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0622753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Over52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under79c1,316$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8961657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under47c1,300$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68910257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Over50c1,281$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.032161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over72c1,227$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.2574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c1,111$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7222448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over19c1,096$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2087440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c1,067$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.841478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under49c1,006$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c995$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.351,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c980$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under55c855.29$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.8520142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c802.39$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.63,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4249753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4089058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under48c677.92$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.523844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over49c659.98$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.393545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under49c612.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.43834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.244544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over25c548.43$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1145841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.83988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+75.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under49c506.12$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25518650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2559660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over27c499.04$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.093740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under47c460$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.812863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under47c438.23$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.076962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Under48c437.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over27c410$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9211819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under75c406.69$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.877950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c399.97$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over5c390$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.922231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under30c332.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.091931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c332.87$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17068450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c332.15$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under67c327.55$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Over53c308.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.852352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under79c305.46$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.031,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.221050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over64c290.63$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under48c278.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0235442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under49c267$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.173834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under49c265.89$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.67560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over61c255.21$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.258075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under78c222$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3813251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c202.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1069163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd22…d3b0backed Over77c195.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b9…c25cbacked Under78c192.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.552070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under47c191.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0410759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over53c183.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c182.37$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5645450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under63c179.61$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1422557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over53c164.15$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under69c144.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.083043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under70c143.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.471250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc3…57d2backed Under71c141.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over41c140$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5842158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over28c130.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.593857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Over15c129.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.654845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.