South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e4bcc5bf59e6a4708181e8e580b9699b6c27244d233c9fd0a24100d103348c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 29c | 4,971$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.65 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 45c | 1,931$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.8 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 1,612$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 1,526$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.92 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 51c | 1,242$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.82 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 71c | 1,128$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 9c | 891.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 886.62$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.33 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 71c | 793.33$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.07 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 4c | 714.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Yes | 50c | 397.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 393.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 51c | 356.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 61c | 277.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 65c | 240$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 28c | 205.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Yes | 57c | 202.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…a6c0backed No | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…1958backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed Yes | 72c | 172.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 78c | 153.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 21c | 147.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 41c | 144.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 28c | 138.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked Yes | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 71c | 127.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 99.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 71c | 93.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 38c | 90.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5924…e5a0backed Yes | 72c | 65.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 37c | 64.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…871abacked Yes | 56c | 60.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…cbcbbacked Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 49c | 51.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…5dffbacked Yes | 72c | 43.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 29c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 28c | 40.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 39c | 39.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 55c | 39.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 45c | 37.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 44c | 36.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 56c | 35.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…93c6backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…afc5backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 57c | 26.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 58c | 26.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…ba7bbacked Yes | 51c | 22.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 68c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked No | 50c | 21.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…1e26backed Yes | 72c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 63c | 17.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Yes | 72c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-04-30?No won
- Will Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.