South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x409bd40b29878a39f022e4d030cd47992c624791effeeda3fecb540d421e0116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 6c | 1,792$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…11a3backed Yes | 72c | 559.03$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked No | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 359.71$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Yes | 29c | 345.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked Yes | 36c | 287.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 30c | 253.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 209.39$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 178.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 9c | 136.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 65c | 64.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 71c | 60.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed No | 78c | 59.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Yes | 38c | 41.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…49c0backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 25.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 52c | 25.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 68c | 24.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-04-30?No won
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.