Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68a0df68736e836aa3bf58c73e6f61ea04eccc16c5684810ded7f82fe4d2ea1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 11c | 14,900$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.05 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 13c | 6,773$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.04 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…ab1bbacked No | 11c | 5,195$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 4,074$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.97 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Yes | 72c | 3,357$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 3,037$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.86 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 14c | 2,701$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.74 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 2,617$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.83 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 76c | 2,222$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.72 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 1,972$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 1,377$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 14c | 1,006$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.66 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 43c | 542.89$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.04 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 27c | 528.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…f7bebacked Yes | 78c | 410.34$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 13c | 376.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed No | 13c | 353.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 66c | 300.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…7e93backed No | 21c | 254.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…e06fbacked Yes | 28c | 213.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 25c | 204.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 25c | 199.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 198.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Yes | 73c | 196.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 19c | 191.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 29c | 174.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 17c | 173.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 52c | 164.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…280cbacked Yes | 72c | 136.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes | 77c | 130.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 56c | 119.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 26c | 106.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 93.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes | 32c | 85.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 25c | 81.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 17cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 29c | 79.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…8583backed Yes | 44c | 74.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…9fdebacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…3714backed Yes | 46c | 63.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 26c | 57.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4b0bbacked Yes | 80c | 50.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 33c | 46.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 44.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 76c | 40.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…af49backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…2c89backed Yes | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda11…25c3backed Yes | 48c | 36.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 35.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…fe6abacked Yes | 48c | 30.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 60c | 30.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…fcbdbacked Yes | 73c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Yes | 48c | 26.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed No | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked No | 74c | 23.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 21.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 21.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed Yes | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…84f1backed Yes | 73c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 71c | 20.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…15a9backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed Yes | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 19.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yes | 76c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…f00abacked Yes | 78c | 16.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…b686backed No | 76c | 13.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-08?this page
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?No won
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-05-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.