TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c6,250$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,313.9168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes31c4,839$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.711833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No69c4,779$3,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,297.2513839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No69c3,363$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.26567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes74c3,125$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.622268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+63.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No28c3,042$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.843638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f55…2181backed Yes40c2,837$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No43c2,671$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.385459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4004528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c1,837$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.3427453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes64c1,798$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes60c1,678$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.247145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No28c1,678$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.592951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes54c1,667$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.4834239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c1,587$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.7598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No69c1,542$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.6926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c1,464$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8226241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes30c1,384$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.0110940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes32c1,331$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.086845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No36c1,230$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.91717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c1,183$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No35c1,163$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.389576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes30c981.48$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.2341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Yes61c978.65$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes71c757.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No38c736.37$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.861030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes59c694.92$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.92988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+64.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No16c629.4$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.825076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No36c609.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.865935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No70c515.6$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.922347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No68c508.2$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0824953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No42c499.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6753…2b75backed Yes31c483.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes60c472.65$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8432843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked No71c460.66$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Yes61c405.42$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes72c374.26$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No37c370.7$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.576950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No33c353.04$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.445955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No68c340$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No21c339.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.332466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No46c330$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.122642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Yes63c326.95$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No68c322.66$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.415446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes71c320.03$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2622743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes30c297.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+208.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c5…0817backed Yes32c293.75$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed Yes72c292.6$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.74650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a2…5152backed No35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No31c264.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9622545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No68c255.79$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.527949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes62c252.36$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes72c228.62$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No23c226.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9413350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6af5…992abacked Yes62c202.97$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8422237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No68c186.19$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6110549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked Yes32c183.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+79.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No34c174.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No72c162.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.267544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.253145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…833ebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No68c153.15$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5215946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9934…131abacked Yes32c149$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed No70c133.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No29c119.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.35244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes30c116.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.676262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes73c112.41$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6911964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9eb4…1bd1backed Yes32c108.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes30c105.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3121054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No30c105$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.518253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb354…655ebacked Yes30c102.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+175.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.515354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d2…c597backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes20c99.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.316819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked No45c98.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No69c87.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.298360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c91…4bbbbacked Yes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c74.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6720749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No35c71.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8812044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b50…b332backed Yes32c68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes31c67.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.786851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c67.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No44c64.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.384452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c60.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.081,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked No70c60.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes25c57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.631040%4 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+141.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c50.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3441854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes75c49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.