Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea816902aac2158527bd7a97f6510da158f84a7ec1a2577639eb4fa7281f8f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 5,309$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 75c | 4,217$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.06 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 6c | 1,226$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 16c | 1,185$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 13c | 1,113$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.73 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 27c | 1,113$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.66 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 985.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 914.58$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.33 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 845.94$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 476.01$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 32c | 354.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 71c | 344.67$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 29c | 286.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 27c | 274.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 268.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 23c | 268$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 70c | 241.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 235.8$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 28c | 230$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 228.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 23c | 224$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 78c | 213$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 46c | 206.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 69c | 176$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 171.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 166.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c0…1f1cbacked No | 71c | 140.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 76c | 123.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 120.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 53c | 106.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…c597backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 30c | 95.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 95.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 17c | 94.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 89.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 66c | 85.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 85.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…2b75backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 75.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 69c | 72.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 62.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…6753backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Yes | 25c | 49.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 32.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 72c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 76c | 25.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 71c | 19.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 70c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?this page
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.