South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a6d07339f420c514f417d1cd588669437171092ff8d198c01094e224feae9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 28c | 29,833$8,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,336.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 27,004$19,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,966.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 40c | 6,266$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.61 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 5,828$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.78 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 5,396$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 5,300$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 45c | 5,180$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.78 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 13c | 2,941$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.35 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 2,464$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.74 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 39c | 1,927$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.45 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 75c | 1,782$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.42 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 16c | 1,687$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed No | 45c | 1,600$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,593$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked No | 59c | 1,558$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked No | 40c | 1,473$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.95 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Yes | 13c | 1,254$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,086$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 6c | 720.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 45c | 617.06$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.51 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…7e93backed Yes | 52c | 549.59$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 544$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 494.93$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 47c | 482.77$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 34c | 478.16$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 10c | 438.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 434.49$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 7c | 421.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 26c | 406.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 384.75$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 27c | 362.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 43c | 299.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Yes | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 75c | 288$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed No | 75c | 264.8$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfd…4f13backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked No | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 58c | 218.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 13c | 215.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 49c | 207.52$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 18c | 205.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 48c | 204.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 11c | 200.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 10c | 196$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 41c | 190.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 26c | 184.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 21c | 183.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 11c | 175.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 46c | 173.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 51c | 168$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 162.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…93e8backed Yes | 19c | 160.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 52c | 156.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 67c | 145.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 45c | 138.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Yes | 32c | 132.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 131.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 48c | 131.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 129.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 51c | 118.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed No | 44c | 114.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 73c | 109.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 103.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 98.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 59c | 95.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 16c | 94.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 54c | 93.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Yes | 60c | 91.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 88.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 54c | 82.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…df71backed Yes | 59c | 82.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…a775backed Yes | 54c | 79.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked No | 19c | 78.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 40c | 77.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 51c | 67.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Yes | 60c | 66.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 77c | 64.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 48c | 60.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 19c | 56.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Yes | 40c | 54.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 51.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…705fbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Yes | 56c | 44.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…7450backed Yes | 70c | 43.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 36c | 42.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 49c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes | 71c | 41.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.