TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes60c6,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes72c5,156$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.2430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No40c4,016$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.5727855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes62c2,644$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.41,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c2,580$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.968,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No10c1,835$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.517437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes65c1,503$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5261060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No31c1,255$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.791,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes66c1,244$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.695,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c1,233$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.551,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No40c888.07$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.631,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes68c830.32$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.713373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes60c818.25$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.098660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes52c807.69$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.694022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes62c790.32$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3211565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacab…4e20backed No40c757.28$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes59c688.09$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.8824665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No39c685.52$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.354431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes59c677.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9627349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No38c670.89$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9142250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No35c662.56$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.913049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0e…ba82backed No35c590.57$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No13c513.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes59c508.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4727549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked No38c507.89$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes60c494.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9921349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked No38c447.37$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No32c436.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8523542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No41c420.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.56955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes61c390$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.14967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No43c378.26$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3714022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes58c354.63$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.625552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No12c325.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.793839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed No12c315.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.899652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No40c311.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6316653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed No20c306.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.192245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed Yes67c305$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No39c256.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-50.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfc…5ae0backed Yes60c255.87$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No40c255.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.91,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No36c247.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2813545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No35c244$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Yes60c225$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No23c215.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.623044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes80c174.37$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.295042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No41c163.29$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.954969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No35c161$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.352213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No36c160$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c75…78adbacked Yes63c158$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.461457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No40c157.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1445253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes65c154.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.831233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c151.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.961,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7599…4293backed Yes68c145.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No39c144.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2121345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes66c133.8$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.497748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No26c128.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No38c125$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No36c119.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.226749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f6…663fbacked Yes58c114.48$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.213141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes60c108.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No38c100.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.382,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Yes60c99.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No37c99.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes57c99.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.751,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked No40c97.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c95.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No34c88.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9313248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes76c84.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.812755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.653528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed No35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes70c78.73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x680d…05eabacked Yes52c77.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.164100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3d…f1eabacked No39c71.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes61c69.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.126656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c69.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.473,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No39c69.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.781,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No43c66.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5214446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c64.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes64c60.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.970055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2141654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed No43c58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.942462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No40c57.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x648d…2d10backed No40c56.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes62c56.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4510767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed No31c55.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.223164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.