South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d33c2faa1d9d40ab5de073dd12fa6a13e67dc5e2e3a020a3c1ee189ded5228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.89 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,080$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 9c | 2,002$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.19 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 1,895$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.68 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 24c | 1,401$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 21c | 634.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 512.25$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 491.11$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 234.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 169.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 158.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 152.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 126$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…917ebacked Yes | 13c | 112.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 24c | 101.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 74.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 72.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 25c | 59.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 77c | 58.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 58.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 76c | 31.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 65c | 29.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?this page
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-07?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.