La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe958fc9ace7c1ced4e40ece67de0be98f48c7194d5c6f282f3d9f964f2b5bebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 68,138$51,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,135.5 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 74c | 53,767$39,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,979.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 25c | 31,607$7,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,823.51 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 27,886$7,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,052.43 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 25,698$19,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,594.38 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 55c | 25,000$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,299.93 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Yes | 45c | 17,320$7,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 11,332$8,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.56 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 9,767$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.7 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 9,159$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.91 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 8,130$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.54 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 75c | 8,081$6,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.18 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 7,546$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 44c | 7,429$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.53 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 22c | 7,272$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 25c | 7,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 6,044$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.42 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 76c | 6,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 25c | 4,800$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 4,508$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.08 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 76c | 4,413$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 4,242$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.54 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 25c | 4,100$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 34c | 3,305$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.72 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,150$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 64c | 3,148$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.4 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 25c | 2,970$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.5 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,611$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.93 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed No | 77c | 2,599$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 75c | 2,430$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.75 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…eba4backed Yes | 25c | 2,327$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.71 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 56c | 2,238$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 75c | 2,070$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.55 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked No | 50c | 2,062$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 25c | 2,011$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.6 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.0wins | +0.38per pick | 54cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 1,969$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.99 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…c23dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 26c | 1,912$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,752$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 1,611$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.28 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 75c | 1,387$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked No | 56c | 1,333$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 74c | 1,330$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 50c | 1,328$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.86 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 15c | 1,290$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 26c | 1,226$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.98 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 48c | 1,212$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.38 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,196$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.06 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 75c | 1,184$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 1,153$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.6 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,123$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes | 27c | 1,015$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.36 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.02 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 24c | 900.31$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 860.93$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.42 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 49c | 850$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 56c | 846.41$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.42 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes | 25c | 845.72$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 25c | 788$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 25c | 773$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 27c | 766.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 55c | 747.88$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…0365backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 28c | 685.8$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 73c | 682.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…f937backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…8a24backed Yes | 19c | 622.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 619.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes | 10c | 612.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 600$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 171 | 59.1%101 W · 70 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 584.64$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 583.33$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 25c | 580$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 55c | 521.2$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 75c | 520$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 510.46$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…d367backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?this page
- Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.