TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2128…da98backed No72c21,361$15,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,337.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bba…49babacked No0c20,055$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c16,055$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,422.2413839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No19c15,431$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,876.492,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes56c11,754$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,153.9934239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed No3c7,812$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.76850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No30c7,147$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.131163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes66c6,192$4,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.734463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes27c6,042$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410.75459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c5,205$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,747.640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No73c3,123$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.431457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.994663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No73c2,740$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Yes27c2,591$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.19560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+86.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No72c2,536$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.843135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c2,440$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.3298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c2,400$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.9812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes28c2,353$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.8119952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,150$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,834$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.8968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09510940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c1,458$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.7941954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaf…5dcfbacked No42c1,407$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked No8c1,272$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes28c1,177$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.9114752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No22c1,068$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1141144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5892…8bf3backed Yes29c1,059$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes68c1,010$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.111153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No48c989.58$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes75c962.38$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.392951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes28c839.8$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.6615946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No72c827.63$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes78c811.89$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.617160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…a6c6backed Yes49c791.14$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No19c745$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8314651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c738.64$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.8136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No19c733.81$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.093847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes28c705$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.63941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…ffcabacked Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.66520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No73c565.43$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.764242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…49e0backed No4c525$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No18c459.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.47347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb442…833ebacked Yes50c440.38$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes78c437.66$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.395244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No46c428.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.83243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No49c409.36$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.83141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+86.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes27c394.85$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x454a…f8d2backed Yes39c380.96$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.952133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No47c372$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.757763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes27c370$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes27c366.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.673246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831070%7 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick28cpaid+223%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No73c288$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.245642.9%24 W · 32 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes27c280.09$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Yes26c250.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No73c240$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.215844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No50c239.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.964463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed No45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed No50c203.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.523324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes28c200.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5115050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No74c199.09$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No50c198.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.42642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No75c194$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.515259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No56c189.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6226241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb70…f009backed Yes50c189.29$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No18c189.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.196349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes71c187.41$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.165955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No19c154.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.289149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No13c151$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.084452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5007…c994backed Yes27c139.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+70.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6927…21adbacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d77…bc86backed No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24e8…a348backed No72c135.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes76c131.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.922743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes57c131.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.366544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No73c120$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1121054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaccd…befdbacked No50c119.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No72c118.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.023357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes51c108.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.194535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c102.58$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2220452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7312357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4415844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No50c98.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.281822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe352…033abacked Yes26c97.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes80c94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.85843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes34c88.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9713155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No16c88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4114936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes72c83.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.221,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.