South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19e993c232b74e8ac3544fc3662255c7bf8e02edba720f1a791549178a0c0f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 79c | 15,000$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 14,970$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.73 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 13,469$10,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 75c | 5,980$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 3,770$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 72c | 3,591$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.91 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Under | 68c | 1,627$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.19 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 18c | 1,335$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 77c | 565.29$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Under | 68c | 535$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 20c | 461.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 459.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 77c | 377.82$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 20c | 372.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 21c | 336.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 310$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Under | 80c | 250.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Over | 35c | 221.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 164.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Under | 65c | 153.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Under | 68c | 147.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 75c | 120.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Over | 21c | 119.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 21c | 119.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 20c | 101.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 68c | 94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 70c | 93.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 70c | 87.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 70c | 61.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 66c | 49.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 34c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 29c | 40.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 72c | 36.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 72c | 34.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 54c | 27.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 73c | 26.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…ed46backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…e52ebacked Under | 79c | 20.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed Under | 75c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…0ad3backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 71c | 19.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 64c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 72c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 79c | 14.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 80c | 12.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.53 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.