South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93a62e0ab43cb4551c5a9d5699c9010ed4d5251205154e063e1e60fd757803a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Bolívarof Fluminense FC, Club Bolívar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Bolívar | 51c | 5,495$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Fluminense FC | 43c | 4,101$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Bolívar | 44c | 2,551$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.01 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fluminense FC | 60c | 2,350$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Fluminense FC | 56c | 2,266$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.78 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Bolívar | 40c | 2,092$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Fluminense FC | 28c | 1,556$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Club Bolívar | 41c | 1,225$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.56 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Club Bolívar | 39c | 1,184$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.24 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Club Bolívar | 58c | 1,100$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.21 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Fluminense FC | 74c | 1,099$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.12 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Fluminense FC | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Fluminense FC | 48c | 955.21$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.99 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Club Bolívar | 39c | 920$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.2 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Fluminense FC | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Club Bolívar | 41c | 719.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.18 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Club Bolívar | 38c | 639.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Fluminense FC | 62c | 620.76$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.89 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Fluminense FC | 61c | 520$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Fluminense FC | 61c | 520$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Club Bolívar | 37c | 453.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Club Bolívar | 37c | 436.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.14 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Club Bolívar | 42c | 352.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.7 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Fluminense FC | 58c | 352.91$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Club Bolívar | 58c | 352.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Fluminense FC | 61c | 340.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Fluminense FC | 60c | 322.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Fluminense FC | 61c | 320$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Club Bolívar | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Fluminense FC | 44c | 300.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Bolívar | 25c | 266.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Fluminense FC | 42c | 262.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Club Bolívar | 52c | 235.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Club Bolívar | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Club Bolívar | 57c | 190.68$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Fluminense FC | 56c | 184.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Club Bolívar | 42c | 161.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Fluminense FC | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fluminense FC | 59c | 153$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed Club Bolívar | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Fluminense FC | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Fluminense FC | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Fluminense FC | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Fluminense FC | 58c | 86.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Fluminense FC | 41c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Club Bolívar | 40c | 65.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Club Bolívar | 53c | 65.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Club Bolívar | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Fluminense FC | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Fluminense FC | 46c | 62.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Club Bolívar | 39c | 58.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…9f3ebacked Fluminense FC | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Fluminense FC | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Club Bolívar | 57c | 44.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed Fluminense FC | 63c | 44.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Club Bolívar | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Club Bolívar | 46c | 43.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Club Bolívar | 79c | 42.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…f3e2backed Fluminense FC | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Club Bolívar | 39c | 40.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Club Bolívar | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Fluminense FC | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…5d09backed Club Bolívar | 42c | 31.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Club Bolívar | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Club Bolívar | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Club Bolívar | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…df71backed Fluminense FC | 59c | 28.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Fluminense FC | 59c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Fluminense FC | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Club Bolívar | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fluminense FC | 59c | 19.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Club Bolívar | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Fluminense FC | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)this page
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.