South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf845c543b95fff313077a3e74e41e3b7eeca81030d9f878e61e132f5d77e04cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 70c | 2,267$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.67 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 2,176$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.36 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 1,199$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 998$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.74 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 48c | 850$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 850$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 60c | 563.23$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.19 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 501.62$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.27 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 39c | 501.54$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 60c | 420.95$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 4c | 378.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Over | 33c | 333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 44c | 278.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Under | 47c | 254.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 60c | 248$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 198$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Under | 43c | 189.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…212dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 59c | 134.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 57c | 124.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Over | 63c | 100.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 39c | 77.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 70.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 49c | 54.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Under | 74c | 54.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 62c | 48.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 50c | 41.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 27c | 41.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 60c | 37.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 56c | 35.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 57c | 34.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 48c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…7c24backed Over | 47c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 19.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.