South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd866aff944f46a4615f65087622a9577036849e9af94ab516748abfae78610c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Yes | 45c | 28,613$12,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,782.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 11,660$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,383.84 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 7,128$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.23 | 1,325 | 50%663 W · 662 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 3,982$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.78 | 1,703 | 52%886 W · 817 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 1c | 3,642$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 1,635$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.7 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 1,439$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.62 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 54c | 1,010$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.58 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed No | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 474.14$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 41c | 443$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.46 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 374$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.31 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked No | 61c | 271.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 42c | 233.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 69c | 230$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 226.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 15c | 212$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…1f55backed Yes | 45c | 209.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 177.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e8…ffcabacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 39c | 144$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…bd26backed Yes | 45c | 137.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 57c | 117$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 114.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…f5f5backed Yes | 42c | 113.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…8954backed Yes | 44c | 107.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 41c | 103.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 101.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Yes | 42c | 72.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 56c | 66.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 418 | 54.5%228 W · 190 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 58c | 58.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 42c | 48.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 58c | 35.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 58c | 18.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.