South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f31d2ca4c40bdf25f947c98ca4dfdc90740cfc5cc2181ece887b77db906521
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 37c | 3,078$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.26 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 79c | 2,679$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.32 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 43c | 2,257$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 13c | 2,044$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.29 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 1,695$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.21 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 1,621$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 1,517$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 17c | 1,296$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.34 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 37c | 1,184$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.07 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 1,084$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 1,029$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.1 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 33c | 907.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 59c | 737.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.62 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 37c | 608.87$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 58c | 602.27$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.95 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 38c | 526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 61c | 386.49$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…3913backed Over | 72c | 281.96$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…3667backed Under | 10c | 271.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 37c | 249.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Under | 42c | 236.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 228.27$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 62c | 219$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 63c | 218.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 60c | 199.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 174.48$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 38c | 165.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 64c | 154.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 21c | 141.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 63c | 140.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 78c | 132.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 39c | 96.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 77c | 94.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 37c | 92.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 16c | 83.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 64c | 55.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 55.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 74c | 54.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 52.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 64c | 52.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 75c | 49.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 63c | 44.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 40c | 41.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 38c | 31.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 37c | 28.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Over | 65c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed Over | 65c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.