Europa Conference League · resolved market
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea15a78545aced1d48659b981f3cfb6ec9316e3bef08082cacdd0759f24c1116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 46c | 17,718$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 8,590$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 6,921$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.15 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 56c | 5,292$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.52 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Under | 45c | 4,461$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 57c | 3,616$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.79 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 57c | 3,487$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 2,313$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.3 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 58c | 2,284$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 35c | 1,862$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 22c | 1,322$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Over | 16c | 1,165$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +221.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 1c | 1,034$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 1,005$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.47 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 953.25$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.68 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 56c | 885.73$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 59c | 696.29$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 651.14$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 42c | 610$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over | 56c | 589.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 53c | 577.3$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Over | 38c | 559.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 557.12$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 554.41$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 513.09$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.96 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 436.55$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.76 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…8809backed Under | 45c | 417.74$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 44c | 417$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 399.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Under | 44c | 385.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 374.9$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.81 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 46c | 344.18$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 55c | 332.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 317.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 44c | 316.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 55c | 314$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 310.47$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -20.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 20cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 295.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 70c | 279.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 30c | 269.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…d605backed Over | 74c | 261.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 57c | 246.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Under | 43c | 239.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 47c | 218.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Over | 56c | 215.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 56c | 196.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…e4cabacked Over | 54c | 192.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…fac0backed Under | 70c | 184.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…a786backed Over | 56c | 184.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 40c | 177.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Over | 54c | 163.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 56c | 156.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 44c | 152.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…984cbacked Under | 46c | 140.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 45c | 137.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 43c | 135.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 45c | 131.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 43c | 130.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Under | 55c | 129$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 21c | 122.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 44c | 121.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dd…1590backed Over | 29c | 119.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 67c | 114.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 103.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Over | 55c | 102.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 51c | 101.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 43c | 98.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…4420backed Under | 49c | 98.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 61c | 96.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 57c | 94.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 63c | 93.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…cb27backed Over | 56c | 88.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 55c | 88.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5this page
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5Over won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.