Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13155eb4c8654bb28897b670b44c15857d0de8fc3c95a2221a0696c0e50f7e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Shakhtar Donetskof AZ, FK Shakhtar Donetsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf009…43d0backed AZ | 19c | 4,917$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed AZ | 21c | 1,375$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.74 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…e4cabacked AZ | 25c | 1,053$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked AZ | 23c | 978.68$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.1 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed AZ | 24c | 966.27$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.9 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe3…31d4backed AZ | 23c | 656.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed AZ | 12c | 600$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 78c | 518.92$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed AZ | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked AZ | 24c | 437.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed AZ | 19c | 404.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AZ | 19c | 352.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 78c | 311.44$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed AZ | 10c | 294.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 80c | 272.76$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 80c | 272.76$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed AZ | 23c | 202.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed AZ | 5c | 201.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dd…1590backed AZ | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 78c | 164.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed AZ | 24c | 158.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 77c | 133.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 77c | 123.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed AZ | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked AZ | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked AZ | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…8c7bbacked AZ | 17c | 76.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AZ | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked AZ | 24c | 63.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 61.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 75c | 59.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…e341backed AZ | 23c | 58.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 77c | 53.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked AZ | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 76c | 39.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 37.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 37.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 37.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 37.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 75c | 34.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 26.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 78c | 23.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2b…27debacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…011cbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 15.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)this page
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5Over won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.