TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes48c3,934$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.251040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c3,574$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.13,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No41c1,844$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.995635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Yes60c1,636$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No52c1,104$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.6838453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No40c999.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.999145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Yes59c991.93$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes60c696.21$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.49988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed No40c615$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes59c416.38$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.585545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No47c387.28$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No40c379.01$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.61040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Yes52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed No41c368.86$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.233655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No53c345.86$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3670239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No52c311.09$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6614552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No52c302.04$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.069056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No50c298.6$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2511443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No39c293.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.571,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf853…8088backed Yes61c240.81$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No52c240.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4414654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No52c240.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4410956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Yes60c227.51$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No41c225.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5916543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes59c198.58$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.535154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes60c195.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0811536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes25c177.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes30c169.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes61c162.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e00…1a29backed Yes60c162$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Yes57c156.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.093060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No41c142.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.743237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c136.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.882,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff1…3f4fbacked No60c135.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5850%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes57c129.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.772948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Yes52c123.27$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.172653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed No40c107.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.073033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked No40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.54854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Yes60c99.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.044755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed Yes59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes57c93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No43c89.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.625435.2%19 W · 35 L-8.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes58c88.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.298124.7%20 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes41c80.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.386241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes60c80.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.083256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No42c77.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.392,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes78c71.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.527677.6%59 W · 17 L+13.5wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No41c62.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.255547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Yes60c61.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.561560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Yes60c56.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.572147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No40c55.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.298349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Yes42c52.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.632245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4c…5c55backed Yes38c50.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.91822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes61c48.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Yes61c48.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Yes62c47.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.053066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Yes58c47.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Yes46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79b3…d6efbacked Yes59c41.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.811070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ae…4440backed Yes60c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes60c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.272661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed Yes53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes59c39.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165448.1%26 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.125554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x541c…e66abacked Yes50c32.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+145.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6100…7827backed Yes61c31.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yes36c31.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2050154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd00d…9817backed No64c30.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes48c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7410941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Yes58c30.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes59c30.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.443641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed No70c28.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.641553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x801e…6d54backed No71c26.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes60c26.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.414757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.174269%29 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes58c24.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Yes60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.763253.1%17 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes61c20.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.127435.1%26 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed No79c14.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick72cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.