Europa Conference League · resolved market
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x207c98584aa84c784bae805a5a9d3a66456051c956fd9cfd516bd0891dda5ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 5,346$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.86 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 20c | 2,440$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…19a9backed Over | 79c | 1,922$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 47c | 1,775$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Under | 51c | 1,332$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.42 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,312$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.6 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 19c | 1,307$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.33 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 80c | 1,242$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 49c | 989.19$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Over | 60c | 820$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Under | 22c | 619.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e5…6f7abacked Over | 80c | 618.74$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Under | 31c | 571.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Over | 52c | 555.77$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 80c | 540.18$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 20c | 530$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 509.03$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.28 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 494.49$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 20c | 491.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 39c | 481.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 20c | 454.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 77c | 384.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 363.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 21c | 315.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 313.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 46c | 307.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 80c | 304.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 44c | 287.72$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 74c | 279.66$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Over | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 78c | 222.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…c6dbbacked Over | 80c | 216.08$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…2ebdbacked Over | 71c | 212.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 45c | 174.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 20cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 50c | 152.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 149.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…4789backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Under | 39c | 145.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 61c | 144.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 69c | 142.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 49c | 140.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 135.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 67c | 124.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 119.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 79c | 114.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…3348backed Over | 45c | 112$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 79c | 98.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 66c | 97.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 88.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Over | 80c | 86.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Over | 49c | 85.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 67c | 73.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…b7f8backed Under | 22c | 67.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 68c | 64.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…7a39backed Over | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Over | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 20c | 56.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 20c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Over | 56c | 53.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 40c | 51.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 49c | 48.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 43c | 45.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 56c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Over | 66c | 44.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…8c7bbacked Under | 26c | 40.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 45c | 40.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 42c | 39.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Over | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 54c | 35.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 47c | 32.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 32.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 66c | 31.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Over | 48c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 28.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 49c | 28.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 49c | 28.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Over | 79c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7b…c2f4backed Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…2c98backed Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 49c | 24.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 23.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5this page
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5Over won
- AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.