Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ff9f614c79f9a32351f07bee92356701022ca4a6cab77ee19e71842fb4c824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 1,518$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.93 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 58c | 996$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.32 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 943.39$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.54 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 934.14$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.73 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 707.22$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.87 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 43c | 676.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.21 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 45c | 627.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 42c | 492.64$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 44c | 393.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.06 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 379.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.13 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 366.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 46c | 299.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Under | 61c | 283.93$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 246.56$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 148.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 33c | 139.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 41c | 122.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 39c | 104.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 85.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 32c | 83.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 55c | 79.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 42c | 78.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Under | 65c | 75.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 75.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 43c | 71.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 76c | 45.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 56c | 42.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 58c | 40.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 48c | 35.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 43c | 30.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 56c | 28.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 58c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.