La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21fbf8bee4778be43b22d9946f45f93c24dcfa26f0bd5f1356a82688789b06a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 4,967$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.28 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,862$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 1,247$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.41 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 42c | 1,079$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.35 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 43c | 1,021$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Over | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 378$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 324.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 25c | 299.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 191.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 43c | 148.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 134.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 123.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 44c | 101.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Under | 76c | 75.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 67.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 57c | 62.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 46.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 43c | 37.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…509fbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 43c | 32.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 28.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 58c | 19.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.