La Liga · resolved market
Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfb1e69f6b46c0e520e2d8129c217ad6fef7b49d233b90d55ffc97c528434496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AD Ceuta FCof FC Andorra, AD Ceuta FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed FC Andorra | 43c | 10,919$4,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AD Ceuta FC | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.05 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed AD Ceuta FC | 57c | 3,454$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.49 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AD Ceuta FC | 56c | 2,350$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.86 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed FC Andorra | 44c | 1,061$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.05 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed AD Ceuta FC | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed AD Ceuta FC | 49c | 794.23$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.01 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed AD Ceuta FC | 57c | 729$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.47 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AD Ceuta FC | 57c | 633.97$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.46 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked AD Ceuta FC | 57c | 572$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.61 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Andorra | 36c | 480.48$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.69 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed AD Ceuta FC | 60c | 208$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Andorra | 40c | 193$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed FC Andorra | 41c | 169.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed AD Ceuta FC | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked AD Ceuta FC | 59c | 66.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked FC Andorra | 45c | 54.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed AD Ceuta FC | 59c | 48.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed AD Ceuta FC | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC Andorra | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed FC Andorra | 45c | 36.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed AD Ceuta FC | 56c | 32.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked AD Ceuta FC | 58c | 27.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…60bbbacked FC Andorra | 45c | 22.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)this page
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.