TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x50aa…60bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.84
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.47
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.26
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+84%+$63
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$75.14
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.95
Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigurbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+52%+$16.05
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensikbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$45.7
Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$76.83
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.73
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+137.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$67.33
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.