NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc1f3f4bba536c088cbcd03d628c7cf4b6ec373a6221b3ae56f3f8d612724a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Avalanche, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Avalanche | 37c | 41,387$15,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,172.11 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 64c | 21,534$13,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,752.19 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Golden Knights | 65c | 19,141$12,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.78 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 35c | 14,805$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.09 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche | 36c | 14,067$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.98 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Avalanche | 36c | 13,944$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Golden Knights | 65c | 10,600$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Golden Knights | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Golden Knights | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Avalanche | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Golden Knights | 64c | 5,913$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 62c | 5,876$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.76 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Avalanche | 35c | 4,343$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Avalanche | 36c | 4,220$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Golden Knights | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.99 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 64c | 3,489$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.5 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights | 65c | 3,300$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche | 35c | 3,186$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 65c | 3,176$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.67 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Golden Knights | 65c | 3,026$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.13 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Avalanche | 35c | 2,903$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 2,361$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.55 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Golden Knights | 64c | 2,238$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights | 71c | 2,200$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 65c | 1,906$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.73 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,661$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.27 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche | 38c | 1,383$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.54 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Avalanche | 37c | 1,324$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 1,280$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche | 42c | 1,176$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.63 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…984cbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Golden Knights | 64c | 919.4$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Golden Knights | 72c | 883.37$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Avalanche | 35c | 866.43$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden Knights | 56c | 833.39$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.01 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 833$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Golden Knights | 65c | 806$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden Knights | 54c | 674.22$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.92 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Golden Knights | 66c | 643.94$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Avalanche | 38c | 634.45$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked Avalanche | 36c | 601.67$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Golden Knights | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Golden Knights | 41c | 504.22$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.17 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Avalanche | 41c | 493.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Golden Knights | 64c | 491.94$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Avalanche | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Avalanche | 45c | 425.19$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Avalanche | 37c | 399.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Golden Knights | 51c | 385.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.46 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Avalanche | 36c | 383.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 61c | 363.53$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Golden Knights | 64c | 359$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Avalanche | 39c | 352.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Avalanche | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Golden Knights | 46c | 336.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Golden Knights | 64c | 333.33$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Golden Knights | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.47 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Avalanche | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Avalanche | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Avalanche | 37c | 275.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Avalanche | 36c | 270.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Avalanche | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Avalanche | 37c | 263.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Golden Knights | 8c | 252$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.04 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…105abacked Golden Knights | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Golden Knights | 65c | 207.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Avalanche | 35c | 205.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Golden Knights | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2082backed Avalanche | 34c | 199.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55a…448dbacked Golden Knights | 32c | 184.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Avalanche | 49c | 183.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Avalanche | 79c | 176$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 173$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Golden Knights | 64c | 172$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Avalanche | 35c | 168.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…39e5backed Golden Knights | 64c | 156.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…25dfbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Golden Knights | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Avalanche | 51c | 145.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Golden Knights | 64c | 145$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Avalanche | 37c | 133.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Golden Knights | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Golden Knights | 49c | 123.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Golden Knights | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Golden Knights | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 111.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c916backed Avalanche | 36c | 109.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Avalanche | 38c | 107.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Avalanche | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.