TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c4,082$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.6610545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under76c1,575$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.5728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over66c1,452$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over24c995.93$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over58c959.56$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.841,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over26c868.32$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c789.57$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6217248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over66c722.94$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6322250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under38c692.04$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4118452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under39c691.36$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4118853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over53c683.92$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.843429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over65c638.8$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.371758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under67c596.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over53c570.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.812357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under44c563.09$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.363161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over25c521.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.495435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0621…0417backed Under25c498.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over50c413.52$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.763943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over62c368.59$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.233,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under35c339.36$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9535829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c317.42$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8492049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Under26c299.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0445069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed Over68c294.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.34366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over79c282.57$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.491747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under24c230.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.72,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under29c230.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under34c227.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.197642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over26c206.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4730855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over78c202.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8827659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under76c201$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.787580%60 W · 15 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.175149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Over66c184.77$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.583831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under22c181.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.934547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over56c166.3$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5449851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over68c147.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.554477.3%34 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under75c147$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.969948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Over69c144.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+93.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d6f…be20backed Under29c118.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.831,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x034a…e968backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Under27c97.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under61c95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.956154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under47c90.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.52050%10 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.155261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under49c78.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2921355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over70c73.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over60c72.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8419844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over45c72.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.892965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under37c62.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.172462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over74c60.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Over61c60.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.536460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca0f…dd8dbacked Under33c60.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over55c57.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1612045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ac…e602backed Under38c56.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over25c56.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.041241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over23c55.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8897955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402277.3%17 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under77c52.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.253083.3%25 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under30c51.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7251343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.691,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over65c49.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.232254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over57c45.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2814347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x932d…8529backed Over67c44.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-78.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over53c37.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.545556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc7…7275backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under34c33.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5312152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfc…e101backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.38469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014560.7%88 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73f6…e559backed Over66c25.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+72.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under75c24.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.174070%28 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over67c22.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under56c20.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29fb…4930backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102035%7 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Under77c19.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.063770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Under55c19.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.567051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x040b…9bbebacked Over68c15.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.