NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70591f992624a8888fd4fea6495c9e412b7db0e7fa4670b325f431deed3cb061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 10,795$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.32 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 57c | 6,122$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.33 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 57c | 3,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 24c | 2,806$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.98 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 57c | 2,020$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.25 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 1,827$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.44 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 58c | 1,791$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.67 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 58c | 1,350$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 43c | 1,180$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 42c | 1,103$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.86 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.47 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 731.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.91 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 42c | 689.71$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.03 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 43c | 625$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.25 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 39c | 600$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 70c | 573.34$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 62c | 560$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 57c | 555.01$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.36 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 18c | 432.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 43c | 351.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.42 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…e8d1backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 340.49$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 58c | 327.01$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 67c | 298.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Under | 58c | 282.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 68c | 251.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 40c | 248.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 42c | 195.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 67c | 194.58$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 74c | 186.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 41c | 186.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 57c | 182.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 32c | 173.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 11c | 134.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 43c | 111.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 58c | 102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Under | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 43c | 99.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 43c | 98.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Under | 11c | 95.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 63c | 94.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 68c | 90.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 77c | 84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 67c | 74.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…dd8dbacked Under | 44c | 67.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 66c | 67.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 79c | 64.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Under | 57c | 50.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 43c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 73c | 47.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Under | 48c | 47.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 54c | 46.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 41.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Under | 27c | 39.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Under | 58c | 33.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Under | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa746…06b5backed Under | 58c | 26.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Over | 66c | 22.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Over | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.