NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f69f04c046b2c1b62ff691a1ec0be8efcb9d97cc32faab4bf26a27f6cf1efb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 6,935$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.74 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 44c | 5,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Over | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 42c | 2,507$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.29 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 43c | 1,892$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.55 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 42c | 1,557$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.07 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 43c | 1,531$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.07 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 43c | 1,208$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.74 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 1,085$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.01 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 840.2$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.09 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 43c | 709.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 77c | 580.79$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 24c | 552.04$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 11c | 545.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 443$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 45c | 421.32$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.89 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 80c | 361.56$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 20c | 361.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 41c | 354.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…3badbacked Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 57c | 312.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 57c | 282.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 57c | 262.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Under | 45c | 251.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Over | 58c | 222.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 16c | 212.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 56c | 205.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 56c | 184.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 14c | 168$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Over | 57c | 166.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 31c | 148.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 41c | 121.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 91.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…39e5backed Under | 43c | 91.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 69c | 47.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…e8d1backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 39c | 43.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 31c | 37.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 43c | 32.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 56c | 26.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4110…31b0backed Under | 44c | 26.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 59c | 17.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.