La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa88e1f389f94bcff608b5150cb8b0a806598eca2848eba6e94166cd413b0332d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x658e…d758backed No | 45c | 11,927$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 5,288$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 43c | 5,182$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.49 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 4,580$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.58 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed No | 43c | 2,650$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 2,014$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 54c | 1,867$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.72 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 1,661$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.34 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 56c | 1,616$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.2 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,575$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.98 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 49c | 1,315$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 45c | 1,189$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Yes | 58c | 1,100$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 53c | 1,061$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.48 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 42c | 974.85$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.44 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked No | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 42c | 499.88$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 57c | 429.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 53c | 425.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 28c | 398.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 50c | 334.11$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 43c | 326.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 44c | 318.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 218.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 44c | 213.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 41c | 204$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 58c | 196.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 62c | 162.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 57c | 152.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed No | 47c | 137.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 42c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 121.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 69c | 91.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked No | 43c | 90.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 58c | 72.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…c682backed No | 43c | 71.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 44c | 68.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 41c | 64.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…0db7backed No | 43c | 64.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…d111backed Yes | 59c | 64.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed No | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 41c | 59.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 57c | 56.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 52c | 48.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…ec7fbacked No | 43c | 45.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 58c | 41.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 58c | 41.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…58e1backed No | 43c | 41.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 32c | 38.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 52c | 38.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…114abacked Yes | 56c | 35.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 42c | 35.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…60bbbacked Yes | 59c | 30.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes | 54c | 29.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 35c | 28.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 58c | 27.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…f565backed Yes | 57c | 26.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked No | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 43c | 25.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 51c | 25.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 51c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 74c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will SD Huesca vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.