South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed3c7ccb3262de52e2b3f7eae35c7710a0f2e630a94660bc07615b0ae5627ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 4,789$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Under | 62c | 2,333$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.23 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 1,661$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 1,601$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 970.85$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.34 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 32c | 959.23$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.46 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 931.96$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.76 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 73c | 848.73$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 39c | 754.17$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 39c | 505$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.95 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 19c | 498$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 392.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Under | 62c | 291.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 39c | 256.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 39c | 202.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…b2a8backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…d22dbacked Under | 62c | 196.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…6210backed Over | 23c | 195$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 38c | 138.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 105.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 25c | 100.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 77.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 20c | 54.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 53.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 46.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…60bbbacked Under | 61c | 44.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 35.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Over | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Under | 61c | 29.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.