South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9272d6b9eb29e6af3fbc88d4aa7b6580e83ec190b709fce4231072f32c38251c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 13c | 4,362$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.54 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 2,385$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.95 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 1,349$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.08 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 55c | 1,158$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.92 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,151$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.71 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 56c | 872.25$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 56c | 732.14$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 44c | 700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.64 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 595.7$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 45c | 575.14$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.81 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 45c | 560$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 45c | 488.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 295.68$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 251.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 226.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…ac34backed Yes | 37c | 216.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 46c | 169.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…de52backed Yes | 13c | 153.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 45c | 150.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 125.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 45c | 109.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 104.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 65c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.