La Liga · resolved market
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1bf7d35876283313f087e834e10ec12e5a075a5be7fd19a8f4ca19aa0f28672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AD Ceuta FCof AD Ceuta FC, FC Andorra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked AD Ceuta FC | 27c | 8,307$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.04 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Andorra | 75c | 4,169$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed AD Ceuta FC | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.17 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AD Ceuta FC | 54c | 1,031$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.6 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c10…76debacked AD Ceuta FC | 5c | 1,023$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee3…9accbacked AD Ceuta FC | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…36d9backed AD Ceuta FC | 5c | 994.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4966backed AD Ceuta FC | 5c | 985$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…4d62backed AD Ceuta FC | 5c | 866.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…c876backed AD Ceuta FC | 5c | 816$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4be…8b13backed AD Ceuta FC | 5c | 806$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…9824backed AD Ceuta FC | 5c | 786$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…b0eebacked AD Ceuta FC | 5c | 781$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AD Ceuta FC | 62c | 223$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed FC Andorra | 78c | 42.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed AD Ceuta FC | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked FC Andorra | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed AD Ceuta FC | 63c | 31.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed FC Andorra | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed FC Andorra | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed FC Andorra | 75c | 16.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)this page
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.