Other European Leagues · resolved market
Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2973ed46804638e8753bfa65f32ca8834267075757783a6b406993d631106102
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,875$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.32 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 61c | 2,440$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.88 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 63c | 793.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 663.07$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.16 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 38c | 338.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 279.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 2,132 | 47.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 63c | 275.75$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 933 | 48.2%450 W · 483 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 66c | 239.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 21c | 238.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 174.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 995 | 52.6%523 W · 472 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Under | 69c | 111.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 35c | 97.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 39c | 96.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 93.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 898 | 57.9%520 W · 378 L | +56.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 63c | 82.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 34c | 73.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 46c | 63.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 55c | 59.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 66c | 53.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 42c | 53.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Under | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 39c | 44.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 64c | 36.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,163 | 60.5%704 W · 459 L | +67.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 36c | 36.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 27.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 66c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5this page
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Kristiansund BK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)Kristiansund BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.