Other European Leagues · resolved market
Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc1f2f5c87c8d21a1ca4948a1958294efe8e42e3054201645a6c6a4fe14d95c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,116$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 399.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 66c | 336.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Under | 37c | 271.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 33c | 264.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 53c | 202.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 71c | 178.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 65c | 159.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 66c | 154.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 145.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 29c | 128$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 34c | 126.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 114.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Under | 31c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 48c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 48c | 40.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…8914backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 44c | 34.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 74c | 29.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 48c | 26.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…c0b5backed Over | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e05backed Under | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…0d30backed Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1e7abacked Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…9f5bbacked Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…f668backed Over | 69c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5this page
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Kristiansund BK won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-2.5)Kristiansund BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.