South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b973ee395a20d91b53635cb359701e726b52607ce43569985130fbbea8cd58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 46c | 3,571$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.01 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,468$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 36c | 1,504$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.27 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 60c | 1,138$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 66c | 816.33$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.55 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 764.04$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Over | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 686.52$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 17c | 570.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 508.69$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.43 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 63c | 483.41$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.86 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 62c | 359.46$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 58c | 286.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Under | 71c | 266.33$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 64c | 210.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 24c | 195.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 171.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 136.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 35c | 103.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over | 18c | 99.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…f88bbacked Over | 36c | 84.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 77.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 17c | 65.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 27c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 63c | 36.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Under | 64c | 34.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Over | 42c | 31.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 43c | 31.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 68c | 26.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Under | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 64c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 2.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CD Cuenca won
- Spread: CD Cuenca (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.