Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa77e8f62835c1262226478c2c177f733b06e3dbb246536bafef45fdf586c050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 9,487$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 61c | 4,501$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.9 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…d6c6backed Over | 52c | 3,814$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 40c | 3,783$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.62 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Over | 51c | 2,787$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.31 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 2,415$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.64 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed Under | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 35c | 1,827$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.5 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,819$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.17 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 1,743$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.63 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 61c | 1,607$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 1,467$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over | 42c | 1,144$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 50c | 977.95$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Over | 58c | 878.21$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 28c | 713.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.06 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 58c | 712.47$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 693.5$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.94 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Over | 51c | 627.55$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 52c | 604.89$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 592.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.21 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 57c | 510.53$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 416$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.35 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 409.15$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 59c | 402.34$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 60c | 388.76$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 382.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 17c | 379.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 56c | 354.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 27c | 335.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 10c | 302$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 279.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 62c | 205$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…2450backed Under | 66c | 202.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…167abacked Over | 53c | 198.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 60c | 197.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 189.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 60c | 188.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 49c | 181.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Over | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 61c | 164.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 49c | 156.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 64c | 156.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 152.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 62c | 137.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Over | 60c | 132.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 132$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 37c | 130$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 54c | 127.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 38c | 122.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 62c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Over | 50c | 103.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 61c | 102.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Under | 59c | 98.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…ffd7backed Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…9ca9backed Over | 51c | 95.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 91.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 44c | 87.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 40c | 86.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 59c | 85.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 26c | 76.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 17c | 75.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ba…2cf3backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 41c | 66.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 41c | 66.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Over | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 44c | 55.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…47bebacked Over | 50c | 49.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 44c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 45c | 46.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Over | 61c | 44.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 67c | 44.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 31c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 32c | 42.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +165.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed Over | 59c | 39.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 77c | 38.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…84d7backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…6f3ebacked Over | 49c | 36.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 35.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.