TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c9,487$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,997.257,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over61c4,501$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.96241.9%26 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…d6c6backed Over52c3,814$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under40c3,783$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.6266047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over51c2,787$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.3127542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under39c2,415$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.642,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over35c1,827$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.57638.2%29 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over52c1,819$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.172,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c1,743$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.632,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over61c1,607$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.522540%10 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c1,467$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.395,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over42c1,144$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4852045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over50c977.95$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.981952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Over58c878.21$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under28c713.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.067516%12 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over58c712.47$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.231464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c693.5$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.941,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Over51c627.55$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over52c604.89$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c592.33$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.2191148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004658.7%27 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over57c510.53$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-37.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over70c416$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3563849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c409.15$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.892,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over59c402.34$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over60c388.76$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5411968.1%81 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c382.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031661.7%195 W · 121 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under17c379.1$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.171560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+535.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over56c354.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.83250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under27c335.68$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.011643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under10c302$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+126.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c279.67$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.435255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.276647%31 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over62c205$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.451553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed Under66c202.06$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.82875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+141.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over53c198.04$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over60c197.73$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6485250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under39c189.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5539852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over60c188.88$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3312746.5%59 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under49c181.78$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.438359.3%227 W · 156 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b25…93ccbacked Over51c165$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over61c164.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under49c156.48$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2610430.8%32 W · 72 L-12.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over64c156.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003860.5%23 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c152.82$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520572.2%148 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over62c137.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Over60c132.03$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under11c132$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.045616.1%9 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under37c130$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.93141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over54c127.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.133855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Under40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under38c122.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2513265.2%86 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over62c110$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.510734.6%37 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e30…02a0backed Over50c103.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Over61c102.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.826457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582564%16 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Under59c98.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.11450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92a9…ffd7backed Over62c96.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9099…9ca9backed Over51c95.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+68.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under50c91.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.121,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Under44c87.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.836439.1%25 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Under40c86.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over59c85.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48758.6%51 W · 36 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over26c76.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.23450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c75.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4571533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ba…2cf3backed Over60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under41c66.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3714560%87 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under41c66.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3738358.7%225 W · 158 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.226432.8%21 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3622054.1%119 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7609…4094backed Over61c57.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under44c55.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.940958.9%241 W · 168 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over52c53.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.923537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf614…47bebacked Over50c49.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under44c49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.518956.2%50 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Under45c46.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.551450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed Over61c44.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over67c44.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.793432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.1wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-50.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under31c44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.462934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under32c42.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.951346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+165.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf5…e0d5backed Over59c39.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over77c38.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe709…84d7backed Under40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…0451backed Under40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+87.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e9e…6f3ebacked Over49c36.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over43c35.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532051.9%166 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.