Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed7c88cf1b4f437a0e01cea633466758673830ea6a190751b5dbb80120c3cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 8,357$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.29 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 3,429$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.93 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 2,667$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.28 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 38c | 2,228$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,729$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Under | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 37c | 1,344$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 1,310$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.75 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 62c | 1,276$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.36 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 62c | 1,116$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.57 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 934.79$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 38c | 915.5$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 910.53$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.79 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 68c | 717.76$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Under | 63c | 698.41$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 661.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 416.57$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 68c | 365$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 36c | 199.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 38c | 190$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 183$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 161.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 144$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 62c | 142.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 71c | 140.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 38c | 133.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 29c | 71.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 71.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 62c | 60.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 65c | 53.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 50.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 26c | 49.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 37c | 34.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 64c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 63c | 22.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 64c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.