Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf16acf11908588393ca770ebf3f4e98256829947e083f9814b4ccb7d87c36869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 1,314$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.79 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 62c | 999.96$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.98 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 786.73$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 525.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 38c | 391.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 61c | 314$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…e02fbacked Yes | 49c | 291.84$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 17c | 238$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.38 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 176.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…94aebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 160$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 46c | 157.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 145.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 39c | 127.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 53c | 123.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 22c | 106.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 101$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…5283backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 62c | 80.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 77.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 60c | 72.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…b747backed No | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…436bbacked No | 54c | 36.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 39c | 34.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…0ac8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff4…c45cbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 28.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 40c | 27.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…8a98backed No | 54c | 27.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…65b3backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…e0afbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdf…ec62backed No | 54c | 23.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 54c | 23.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f8c7backed No | 54c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d4…9522backed Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 68c | 15.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.