Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94484f0fa99b617702a67228af9c1ca577c45e06bf8ed58ac4141fc7256f05f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 58c | 7,736$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 5,327$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.08 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 3,428$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.84 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 2,308$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.13 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 45c | 873.13$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +323.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 46c | 739.13$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 58c | 431.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 15c | 380.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 56c | 329.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 63c | 308.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 273$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…5962backed Under | 74c | 268.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under | 58c | 205.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 179$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 30c | 174$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 158$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 43c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 115$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…1da6backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…30a7backed Under | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 51c | 83.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Under | 48c | 79.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 21c | 67.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 63.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 21c | 52.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 50.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 48.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Under | 72c | 44.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…e101backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…e205backed Over | 53c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…d590backed Over | 56c | 35.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 34.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 40c | 33.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 42c | 31.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 65c | 25.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…4fb2backed Under | 62c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.