Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfedb5f32f823d3ce2a36da7410ab8a730aaa23c2c536fc3e1f168dfe66cec1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 2,559$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.03 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,446$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 1,195$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.22 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 64c | 256.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 249.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 36c | 150.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 46c | 94.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 35c | 91.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 66c | 79.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 60c | 52.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes | 60c | 49.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 63c | 36.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 45c | 23.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Yes | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 62c | 19.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.