Mls · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2835562007c66e75626e64a2287e958430129662b47ec04dfae727b658f728c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Dynamoof Los Angeles Galaxy, Houston Dynamo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 24c | 849.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 3c | 756.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 23c | 699.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Dynamo | 77c | 556$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Houston Dynamo | 78c | 433.23$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 22c | 322.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Houston Dynamo | 79c | 314$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Houston Dynamo | 79c | 303.45$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 23c | 299.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 21c | 252$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 24c | 248.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 24c | 247.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Houston Dynamo | 77c | 102.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Houston Dynamo | 77c | 102.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Houston Dynamo | 77c | 102.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 17c | 77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Houston Dynamo | 79c | 70.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Houston Dynamo | 77c | 50.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Houston Dynamo | 78c | 50.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Houston Dynamo | 77c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Houston Dynamo | 77c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Houston Dynamo | 66c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Houston Dynamo | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Houston Dynamo | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.