South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1212a8217776a7a125a63d1a0a2868490bba2c04fd35f7da17cb6c77f9db715f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Over | 2c | 15,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Over | 2c | 14,999$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Over | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 75c | 6,796$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 5,383$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.58 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 59c | 841.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 50c | 597.58$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.94 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 457.86$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 373.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 58c | 366$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.28 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 15c | 299$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 288.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 269.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 41c | 268.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 60c | 166.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 42c | 119.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 59c | 106.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 22c | 103.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0896…5607backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Under | 78c | 65.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 43c | 56.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 53c | 50.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5this page
- CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 3.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)Club Alianza Atlético won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-2.5)Club Alianza Atlético won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.