CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94b912f2c6278ac8bea71ef201a0407ad915f1f361883ded5d8aa841edc7a2b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed magic | 44c | 34,718$15,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,559.65 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked NIP | 56c | 30,611$17,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,291.21 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed magic | 42c | 25,342$10,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,698.15 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked NIP | 54c | 20,975$11,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,427.3 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…279bbacked NIP | 58c | 20,307$11,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,741.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed NIP | 53c | 16,323$8,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,625.16 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked magic | 51c | 13,100$6,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,407.75 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed NIP | 30c | 11,544$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.91 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP | 58c | 8,294$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.41 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…53ddbacked magic | 74c | 8,238$6,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NIP | 46c | 7,209$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.55 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed NIP | 59c | 6,719$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed NIP | 58c | 5,971$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.34 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked magic | 45c | 5,511$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.11 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked magic | 70c | 4,184$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.29 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 46c | 3,825$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.36 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked magic | 44c | 3,441$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.8 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed NIP | 32c | 3,297$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.17 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed magic | 43c | 3,271$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.7 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed NIP | 56c | 2,676$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.78 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 61c | 2,593$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.53 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 70c | 2,593$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked magic | 44c | 2,575$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.67 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked magic | 75c | 2,463$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed magic | 69c | 2,407$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.17 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed magic | 46c | 2,366$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.75 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked NIP | 28c | 2,321$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.75 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed magic | 41c | 2,255$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.44 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked magic | 46c | 2,109$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.68 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 24c | 2,025$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.16 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked magic | 69c | 2,003$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked magic | 56c | 1,980$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.92 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed magic | 43c | 1,942$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.22 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed NIP | 55c | 1,894$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.81 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 62c | 1,834$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.71 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed NIP | 33c | 1,830$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked magic | 45c | 1,796$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked NIP | 54c | 1,612$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.18 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked NIP | 27c | 1,554$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 49c | 1,552$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked NIP | 58c | 1,545$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed NIP | 57c | 1,520$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.17 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed magic | 45c | 1,507$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.83 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed magic | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed NIP | 49c | 1,348$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.24 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked magic | 43c | 1,320$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed magic | 48c | 1,307$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.88 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked NIP | 51c | 1,304$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.21 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked magic | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed magic | 55c | 1,300$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed magic | 52c | 1,291$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.28 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed magic | 72c | 1,278$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.41 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…bcc8backed NIP | 54c | 1,266$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed NIP | 50c | 1,258$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.19 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked NIP | 28c | 1,242$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.67 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked magic | 46c | 1,142$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.2 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed magic | 46c | 1,138$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.87 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…026ebacked NIP | 56c | 1,132$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed magic | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked NIP | 47c | 1,080$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.58 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed NIP | 57c | 1,062$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed magic | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed NIP | 57c | 1,013$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.44 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked NIP | 58c | 1,013$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.4 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked magic | 69c | 1,007$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.13 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed magic | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked magic | 68c | 989.74$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed magic | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed magic | 44c | 866.81$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.33 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked magic | 48c | 853.12$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.3 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked magic | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked NIP | 53c | 831.97$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.47 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed magic | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.95 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed magic | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.95 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed magic | 43c | 810$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.7 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed NIP | 44c | 791.21$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked magic | 70c | 775.58$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.05 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked magic | 42c | 767.21$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.98 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NIP | 56c | 719.81$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.09 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked magic | 74c | 711.43$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.43 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 21c | 705.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked magic | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed NIP | 30c | 696.86$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed magic | 43c | 684$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.88 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed NIP | 53c | 667.48$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed magic | 48c | 621.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.02 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed NIP | 57c | 615.76$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed magic | 61c | 613.67$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.41 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked NIP | 50c | 602.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked magic | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked magic | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed NIP | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked magic | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked NIP | 28c | 600$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked magic | 45c | 560$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed magic | 42c | 559.48$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked magic | 46c | 555.43$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.93 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed NIP | 57c | 528.27$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.